$ZETA, yesterday I sent out this push message to members:
Long Term Swing Trade Idea
$ZETA LONG
Watch out: Earnings are in about two hours, so keep the position very small. If the stock sells off sharply on earnings while the long-term thesis remains intact, I may add to the position at lower prices.
The main reason for this trade is that the current trading range (pink box) appears ready to transition into its next phase, a sustained trend. I’ve covered this concept extensively in previous videos.
Because of this pink box, even moderately positive earnings could trigger an explosive move higher. That’s why I’m willing to take a small position ahead of the report.
Trade Setup
Entry: $24
Stop: $14.30 (should be more than enough, even if earnings disappoint. If the stock crashes but the thesis remains intact, I may double the position.)
Target: $50 zone
Risk Management
Suppose your account is $100,000 and you risk 1% per trade. That means your maximum loss is $1,000.
With an entry at $24.00 and a stop at $14.30, your risk is $9.70 per share.
Position size:
103 shares
Total position value: $2,472
Maximum loss if stopped out: $999 (approximately 1% of the account)
The potential reward is approximately $26 per share, or about $2,678 if the target is reached.
That results in a risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 2.7:1, meaning the trade is mathematically break-even with only about a 27% win rate. I believe the probability of success is significantly higher than that.
As always, adjust your position size according to your own risk tolerance.
๐ Final Note
These updates reflect structured trade management and probability-based analysis, not financial advice.
Risk management and position sizing remain the foundation for long-term survival.
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